The US market for UHT milk occupies a niche position within the broader category of liquid milk; however, it is growing and is estimated to reach around 1.5 to 2.5bn litres per year by 2026.

Between 2026 and 2035, total consumption of UHT milk in the United States is projected by IndexBox to grow at a CAGR of 4–6% (by volume), outperforming the stagnant to declining trend in the fresh milk category. This means that UHT milk could double its share of the liquid milk market from around 10% to 18–22% by the end of the forecast period. Growth in US dollars is expected to be slightly higher, at a CAGR of 5–7%. By 2035, the UHT segment could generate sales of USD 4.5–6bn in the retail and foodservice sectors (nominal).